Prediction
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As of 12 October 2026, 07:04 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 94% chance and No at 6%.
YES means a candidate wins the first round of the 2026 GA-12 U.S. House election on 3 November 2026 with more than half of valid votes. NO means no such majority, no election, or no definitive first-round result by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Use the overall agreement of trustworthy election coverage; if that evidence is ambiguous, the responsible Georgia electoral authority’s certified result controls.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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