Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Tsai Yi-yu at a 91% chance, ahead of Wu Pin-jui at 9% and Tsai Sung-yi at 1%.
YES goes to the named contender installed as Chiayi County Magistrate by the 2026 Taiwanese local vote. A temporary or interim office-holder appointed before voting is excluded. If, by 30 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the outcome is unknown or nobody has been elected, use Other. Use broad agreement in reputable reporting; where accounts conflict, the Taiwanese Central Election Commission's official result controls.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
