Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Branislav Becík at a 81% chance, ahead of Henrich Varga at 6% and Tibor Csenger at <1%.
This prediction covers the election of the governor (head of the self-governing region) of Nitra Region in Slovakia, scheduled for 24 October 2026. YES goes to the listed candidate who comes out as the winner of that election; taking office afterwards is not required. An interim or caretaker governor does not count as the winner. Every other listed candidate is NO. If a candidate who is not listed wins, or if the result is not definitively known by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, every listed candidate is NO, so at most one listed candidate is YES. The winner is established by agreement among reliable news reports; if those reports are unclear, only official results decide, as published by the authorities of Nitra Region and of Slovakia, among them Slovakia's Statistical Office (volby.statistics.sk).
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
