Prediction
Answer Options
As of 13 October 2026, 09:37 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 56% chance and No at 44%.
YES when UEFA's final 2026-27 Europa League league-phase standings put Real Sociedad anywhere from 9th through 24th. Only league-phase matches count; qualifying, play-off and knockout fixtures are excluded. UEFA's published tie-break criteria decide equal points. If Real Sociedad reaches the top eight or cannot finish above 25th, the answer is NO immediately. Non-participation, withdrawal or expulsion also means NO. At 11:59 PM ET on February 28, 2027, a cancelled or unfinished league phase means NO. UEFA's official information is used; if unavailable, broad agreement among reputable reports is the fallback.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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