Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:07 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 2% chance and No at 98%.
This prediction concerns Taiwan's Changhua County election on 28 Nov 2026. YES if Huang Hsiu-fang becomes the next elected county magistrate. Anyone else winning is NO. A temporary, interim or placeholder appointee installed before the vote is not an election win. If the result is unknown or no candidate has been elected by 23:59 ET on 30 Jun 2027, it settles NO. Consistent reputable reports decide; if unclear, Taiwan's Central Election Commission official result controls.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
