Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 20:26 UTC, versus prices Republican Party at a 4% chance and Democratic Party at 97%.
This market resolves to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 U.S. House of Representatives district seat in the 2026 midterm elections, held on November 4, 2026. A candidate’s party is determined by the affiliation listed on the ballot, or otherwise identifiable, at the time all 2026 House races have been conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A candidate with no ballot-listed Democratic or Republican affiliation will still be counted as belonging to one of those two parties.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @AndrewSolender
