Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Édouard Philippe only at a 80% chance, ahead of Gabriel Attal only at 14% and Both at 7%.
Exactly one answer is YES according to the official first-round candidate list for France's 2027 presidential election: Gabriel Attal alone, Édouard Philippe alone, both names, or neither. Only inclusion on that official list counts: announcing a run, campaigning or collecting sponsorships is not enough, and a person who is not on the list counts as not included, whatever the reason. If the Constitutional Council does not publish a list before the election, use the candidates actually appearing on the first-round ballot. Without any published list, if the election has still not taken place by 30 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, Neither is YES. The French Constitutional Council is the primary authority, and agreement among reputable reports may also be used. All other answers are NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
