Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Mark Sutcliffe at a 94% chance, ahead of Alex Lawson at 4% and Jeff Leiper at 3%.
At most one listed candidate is YES. A candidate is YES if that person becomes mayor of Ottawa, Ontario, as the outcome of the city's 2026 mayoral election, currently set for 26 October 2026; every other listed candidate is then NO. A temporary, interim or placeholder mayor appointed before that vote does not count. If the winner is someone not listed here, or if the result of that election is still not known by 30 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, every listed candidate is NO. Reliable news coverage that broadly agrees on the winner decides; where the result is unclear or disputed, official information from the City of Ottawa decides.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
