Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:31 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
This market resolves Yes if the United States federal government formally charges Barack Obama or announces a criminal indictment of him by January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET; otherwise it resolves No. For this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State are treated as within the definition of a State. Primary source: official information from US governmental sources; a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @JoshHall2024
