Prediction
Answer Options
Learn as you go
As of 30 October 2026, 09:53 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
This prediction covers the Campeche gubernatorial election scheduled for 6 Jun 2027. YES if Dulce Dorantes Cervera is the listed winner of that election; a caretaker or interim governor does not qualify as a winning candidate. Anything else is NO. If the result is not definitively known by 23:59 ET on 31 Dec 2027, settle NO. Consistent reports from reputable outlets may identify the result; if reports conflict, official results from the Campeche electoral authority and Mexico's National Electoral Institute control.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
