
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 20:35 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
This market resolves Yes if any Bitcoin held in a wallet attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto is moved, spent, or transferred at any point during 2026, from January 1 through December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves No.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Cointelegraph