Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 17% chance and No at 83%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between the creation of this market and 05:59 on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned at the time of this market's creation will qualify. An official announcement that an Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice, regardless of whether the ambassador in question leaves the country within this market's timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous and official, and must be issued by an authorised governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, together with official information from the relevant expelling government, although an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
