Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 09:21 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 21% chance and No at 79%.
YES if Bayern Munich is officially placed second in the final 2026-27 Bundesliga table, the top division of German football; otherwise NO. The answer is NO as soon as Bayern Munich can no longer finish second under Bundesliga rules. If more than one club is declared second, YES only if Bayern Munich is among them and its name comes first alphabetically among those clubs from this list: Bayer Leverkusen, Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Borussia Mönchengladbach, Eintracht Frankfurt, FC Augsburg, 1. FC Köln, FC Schalke 04, Hamburger SV, Mainz 05, RB Leipzig, SC Freiburg, SC Paderborn, SV Elversberg, TSG Hoffenheim, Union Berlin, VfB Stuttgart, Werder Bremen. If another club is runner-up, the answer is NO. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, is postponed beyond 31 July 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up has been declared by that time, the answer is NO. Official Bundesliga information decides; reliable news coverage may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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