Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, versus prices Democratic Party at a 98% chance and Republican Party at 2%.
YES goes to the Democratic or Republican party whose nominee wins Virginia's 2026 U.S. Senate election, including any runoff. Only a nominee represents a party; an independent or other candidate is outside the two listed choices, so both listed answers are NO if one wins. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, assess the replacement nominee's party. The Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC must all call the same candidate; if they do not, official certification controls. The 2026 contest is evaluated in ET, and a later affiliation change does not change the settled party.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
