Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 32% chance and No at 68%.
On 28 February, Elon Musk posted that Starship would likely become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984 This market resolves YES if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by 05:59 CET on 1 January 2027. Otherwise it resolves NO. Note that this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super Heavy booster. For this market to resolve YES an actual reuse does not need to occur — only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by the resolution date. The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
