Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:28 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 0-1.0% at a 52% chance, ahead of 1.0-2.0% at 46% and <0% at 2%.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of euro area (eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026, expressed as a percentage change and based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available at https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the euro area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the euro area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or the fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as part of the next estimate's publication, but any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
