Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, versus prices Democratic Party at a 78% chance and Republican Party at 22%.
YES for a party means that party's nominee wins the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate represents a party only when they are that party's nominee; other candidates, including Green, Libertarian, and independent candidates, are not folded into the Democratic or Republican answers, and an independent remains outside those answers regardless of affiliation. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, update the name and resolve for the replacement nominee. The Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC must all call the same candidate; if they do not, use the official certification. There is no separate ET deadline for the result; the winning party answer is YES and the other listed party is NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
