Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 20:25 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is December 31 at a 21% chance, ahead of September 30 at <1% and August 31 at <1%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of time by the listed date, 05:59 CET / 06:59 CEST the following day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
