Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:28 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 4% chance and No at 96%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between the creation of this market and the specified date, at 05:59 CET/CEST on the following day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Vance's resignation or removal before the end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when that resignation or removal takes effect. If Vance is detained, effectively removed from the position, or otherwise permanently prevented from carrying out its duties within this market's timeframe, that will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
