Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices Ben Cline (R) at a 93% chance and Beth Macy (D) at 7%.
YES goes to the listed answer whose party wins the Virginia 6th congressional district (VA-06) seat in the US House of Representatives at the 2026 midterm elections, held on 3 November 2026. Each answer stands for its party: Ben Cline (R) for the Republican Party and Beth Macy (D) for the Democratic Party, so the winner's party decides. A candidate's party is the one listed on the ballot or otherwise clearly identifiable at the moment every 2026 House race has been conclusively called by reliable reporting; a winner without a Democratic or Republican ballot label is counted with the party they most recently said they would caucus with at that moment. There is no deadline for the result: a call that comes after 11:59 PM ET on election night still counts. If the seat goes to a candidate counted with neither party, both answers are NO. Broad agreement among reliable news reports decides; if that is unclear, only the official results published by the US government, in particular the Federal Election Commission (FEC), decide.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
