Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, versus prices Republican Party at a 99% chance and Democratic Party at 2%.
YES goes to the listed party whose candidate wins the U.S. House seat of Oklahoma’s 2nd congressional district (OK-02) in the midterm election on 3 November 2026, and the other listed party is NO. A candidate’s party is the ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation in force at the moment every 2026 House race has been conclusively called. If the winner has no ballot-listed Democratic or Republican affiliation, count the winner for whichever of those two parties they most recently said they would caucus with, as of that same moment. If the winner cannot be assigned to either party this way, both answers are NO. Broad agreement among established election reports decides the winner; if those reports leave it ambiguous, the official U.S. government result published by the Federal Election Commission decides. There is no deadline for the result: 11:59 PM ET on 3 November 2026 is not a cutoff, and if the race is still uncalled then, or a recount or late count follows, settlement waits for the conclusive result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
