Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 97% chance and No at 3%.
YES requires the combined domestic debut-weekend takings of Dune: Part Three and Avengers: Doomsday to exceed $244,477,464. Equality or a smaller sum means NO. Both films must open during 18–20 December 2026; if either does not, choose NO. Use the finalized three-day weekend amounts shown in The Numbers’ Box Office records, adding the two films. Follow that provider’s domestic geography and its treatment of Thursday previews. Preliminary studio estimates do not count. If finality is uncertain, wait until The Numbers and Box Office Mojo both confirm finalized figures; the figures from The Numbers remain controlling. If both films open that weekend but final numbers are unavailable by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, select another dependable data provider. If final figures still cannot be obtained by 28 February 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, choose NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
