Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 22:32 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 56% chance and No at 44%.
YES applies if Lando Norris is officially classified first in at least three 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship Grands Prix, using the first final FIA race classification published after each Grand Prix. Penalties and official adjustments published before that first classification count; later changes do not alter it, and sprint victories are excluded. The result becomes YES at the third such Grand Prix win and becomes NO once three wins are mathematically impossible. If the remaining season is cancelled, postponed beyond 20 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or three wins are not recorded by then, the answer is NO. FIA and Formula1.com information are primary, but broad agreement among reliable reports may also decide the result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
