
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 81% chance and No at 19%.
YES requires the Arizona State Sun Devils to record more than 4.5 wins, so at least 5, in games actually played during the 2026 college football regular season. Otherwise NO. Bowl games, College Football Playoff games and conference title games are left out, however the NCAA classifies them. Only games that are played and officially recorded as Arizona State wins count. A game that is cancelled or never played, whether because of weather, a forfeit or any other reason, cannot add a win, while a game that is completed and officially recorded as a win after a weather delay counts normally. If Arizona State plays fewer games than scheduled, only its actual recorded wins count. If the 2026 NCAA Division I football regular season is cancelled, is postponed beyond 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or Arizona State’s win total cannot be established by then, the answer is NO. Official NCAA and conference records decide; broad agreement among reliable reporting is the fallback.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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