Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Solomon Olamilekan Adeola at a 77% chance, ahead of Rotimi Babajide at 10% and Oladipupo Adebutu at 5%.
YES belongs to the listed candidate elected Governor of Ogun State in 2027. The planned poll is 6 February 2027; if officials move it, use the election selecting the governor for the 2027 term. Interim, acting, and caretaker officeholders do not count. Nigerian law requires both the highest vote total and the required geographic distribution. If no outright winner emerges, keep the prediction open for a runoff or further election held by 31 October 2027 at 11:59 PM ET; with no official election by then, Other is YES. Broadly corroborated journalism is used first; ambiguity is settled by INEC and Nigerian government records.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
