Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 11 October 2026, 22:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 62% chance and No at 38%.
YES applies if any candidate receives more than 50% of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election on 3 November 2026. If nobody reaches that threshold, the answer is NO. If the first-round result is not definitively known by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the answer is also NO. A broad agreement among reliable reports is the usual basis; where the reporting is ambiguous, use the certified result from the Georgia authority responsible for this election.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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