Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Hike–Pause–Hike at a 67% chance, ahead of Hike–Pause–Pause at 21% and Hike–Hike–Hike at 10%.
Exactly one listed sequence is YES. Compare the upper edge of the Federal funds target range before and after the scheduled FOMC meetings on 15–16 September, 27–28 October, and 8–9 December 2026. A hike raises that edge, a pause leaves it unchanged, and a cut lowers it. Ignore unscheduled emergency moves. Any combination outside the listed sequences, including one containing a cut, is Other. Use the FOMC statements and Federal Reserve rate page as the primary records, with a broad agreement of credible reporting as fallback. Dates are interpreted in ET.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
